A vacation looks simple until you price it out. The flight and hotel according to you may be the cost of a vacation. But the real cost is bigger. You also give up shifts at work, time you could’ve spent studying, and maybe money you would’ve invested. That trade is the core idea of Applied Economics : choices have costs, even when they don’t show up on a receipt. In striving for vacation- you lose the utility you may get from the reservation option (the best next outcome). The same logic scales up. A country “chooses” between spending and saving, hiring and automation, consumption now and investment for later. Those choices shape GDP growth (Gross Domestic Product growth), and economics gives you tools to form a disciplined and accurate forecast. This blog aims to shows how to build a simple GDP growth view using components of GDP, the GDP deflator , indicators, basic models, and a careful role for Artificial Intelligence . You’ll also learn what economics can’t promise, so your fore...